Key Points
- Bitcoin faces increased volatility as it nears the $100,000 mark, according to OKX’s Global Chief Marketing Officer, Haider Rafique.
- Long-term holders selling for profit and strong buyback momentum are creating a dual-sided pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
Haider Rafique, the Global Chief Marketing Officer at OKX, anticipates a surge in volatility as Bitcoin nears the $100,000 threshold.
Last week, Bitcoin came close to the $100,000 mark but failed to breach this psychological barrier, dropping to $93,428. Rafique attributes this pullback to Bitcoin holders cashing in on their investments.
Profit-Taking and Buyback Momentum
Rafique explains that many long-term Bitcoin holders, who bought in around the $30,000 mark, are now reaping returns two to three times their initial investment. This sets $100,000 as a significant target for profit-taking.
Simultaneously, the sell pressure from these profit-takers is balanced by a strong buyback momentum. Institutions like MicroStrategy, which are consistently acquiring Bitcoin, are reducing available liquidity on exchanges and pushing prices upwards.
The current long/short ratio indicates a slightly bearish sentiment, with more short positions than long ones. However, Rafique warns that this setup is unstable. As Bitcoin nears $100,000, a “dual-sided pressure” is expected to surface.
The Dual-Sided Pressure
On one hand, long-term holders are projected to take profits, adding to the sell-side pressure. On the other hand, heavily leveraged short positions could face liquidations if Bitcoin surpasses key levels, resulting in cascading buy orders to cover these positions.
This mix, Rafique emphasizes, could lead to increased volatility and rapid price fluctuations in both directions.
Despite the potential for short-term pullbacks, Rafique believes these are unlikely to cause widespread panic. Instead, he suggests that these dips could provide attractive entry points for potential buyers.
Market experts concur that price corrections are possible as Bitcoin strives to reach the six-figure milestone. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju pointed out that pullbacks of up to 30% are not uncommon during bull runs, referring to Bitcoin’s 2021 cycle. He advised investors to manage risks and avoid panic selling at local bottoms.
Analysts at QCP Capital echoed this sentiment, describing recent corrections as “not panic-worthy” and suggesting that Bitcoin was merely “taking a breather” after its recent rally.