Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Declines: Is More Trading Turbulence on the Horizon?

Fostering Caution: Bitcoin Investors Pull Back on High-Risk Leverage Amidst Economic Unpredictability

Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Declines: Is More Trading Turbulence on the Horizon?

Key Points

Bitcoin’s value has seen a 2.43% decrease in the last 24 hours. This decline is linked to the current economic uncertainty in the U.S.

As a result of this uncertainty, Bitcoin [BTC] has dipped to levels last seen in November 2024.

Bitcoin’s Moderate Recovery

After reaching a low of $76k, Bitcoin has shown some recovery. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $80,338.

These fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price are causing investors to feel pessimistic, adding fear to risk markets.

Decrease in Leveraged Positions

Data from CryptoQuant indicates that since January 29th, the Futures Estimated Leverage Ratio has been in the negative. Currently, the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) stands at around -0.13. This suggests that traders are reducing leverage as their risk appetite declines, indicating strong bearish sentiments.

The current market trend is largely due to political and economic uncertainty over U.S. policies. This uncertainty is causing traders to secure their positions and reduce risk exposure.

The Coinbase Premium Index has remained negative for the past two weeks, suggesting that U.S. investors are selling without institutional accumulation. This means that the market sentiment among traders is predominantly bearish.

Dormant Coins Becoming Active

The bearish sentiment in the market has increased as dormant coins have started to move. Notably, 8,000 BTC that have been inactive for three to five years have recently become active.

The movement of these coins to exchanges increases the likelihood of a sell-off. Historically, the movement of older coins often creates substantial selling pressure.

Over the past day, more than 50k BTC has flowed into exchanges. This suggests strong bearish sentiments in the market.

Future of Bitcoin

With investors reducing leveraged positions, it is clear that the market is currently bearish. Bitcoin’s future trajectory is closely linked to the U.S. economy and its macroeconomic policies. Therefore, until the U.S. economy stabilizes, BTC volatility is likely to continue.

If the current trend continues, BTC could drop again to $77592. However, a shift in market sentiments could restore market confidence and boost the cryptocurrency to higher levels.

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