Key Points
- Real Vision founder Raoul Pal proposes a “Banana Zone” concept to predict Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
- Bitcoin’s price movement ahead of Trump’s inauguration could lead to a rebound or panic sell-off.
Bitcoin’s [BTC] recent price fluctuations, including a rebound above $94,000 following a brief dip below $92,500, have led to speculation about its future direction amid market uncertainty.
Raoul Pal’s “Banana Zone”
Real Vision founder Raoul Pal recently introduced the concept of the “Banana Zone” during a podcast. This concept refers to a rapid surge in Bitcoin’s price, where the trajectory resembles the shape of a banana on a chart. Pal suggests the market is currently in a consolidation phase, which he refers to as “Banana Zone Phase 1”, comparing it to the conditions seen during the 2016-2017 cryptocurrency boom.
Pal anticipates the market will soon transition into “Banana Zone Phase 2”, or “Banana Singularity”, which he predicts will trigger an altcoin season. However, according to BlockchainCenter.net, the altseason remains a distant prospect, with the current index standing at 51.
Impending Changes in the Crypto Market
Pal also suggests that the market will eventually enter “Banana Zone Phase 3”, or the “concentration phase”, where select cryptocurrencies reach new peaks. Analysis by AMBCrypto using IntoTheBlock data revealed that 91.82% of Bitcoin holders were “in the money”, indicating a bullish market sentiment.
As Bitcoin faces a pivotal moment ahead of Donald Trump’s presidential inauguration on 20 January, its price trajectory remains uncertain. Analysts suggest that if BTC manages to defend the $88k-level before or after the inauguration, a strong rebound could follow. Conversely, a dip below $88k might trigger a panic sell-off by the short-term holder (STH) cohort.
The market is bracing for volatility and the unfolding political events that could shape Bitcoin’s near-term outlook.